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USA Real Estate Blog

Mortgage applications rebound in new year after a sluggish December

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Consumers reacted in a big way to falling interest rates as mortgage applications increased 23.5% from one week earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. This week’s results include an adjustment for the New Year’s Day holiday.

During December, even as interest rates dropped, mortgage application activity also declined.

The MBA’s Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending Jan. 4 found that the refinance index increased 35% from the previous week.

The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to its highest level since February 2018, 45.8% of total applications, from 42.7% the previous week.

The seasonally adjusted purchase index increased 17% from one week earlier, while the unadjusted purchase index increased 59% compared with the previous week and was 4% higher than the same week one year ago.

Mortgage rates fell across the board last week and applications rebounded sharply, after what was a slower-than-usual holiday period. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined 10 basis points to 4.74%, the lowest since April 2018, and other loan types saw rate decreases of between 9 and 20 basis points,” Joel Kan, the MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said in a press release.

“This drop in rates spurred a flurry of refinance activity — particularly for borrowers with larger loans — and pushed the average loan size on refinance applications to the highest in the survey (at $339,800). The surge in refinance activity also brought the refinance index to its highest level since last July.”

Adjustable-rate loan activity increased to 8.4% from 7.6% of total applications, while the share of Federal Housing Administration-guaranteed loans increased to 10.3% from 10% the week prior.

The share of applications for Veterans Affairs-guaranteed loans increased to 11.6% from 11% and the U.S. Department of Agriculture/Rural Development share remained unchanged at 0.6% from the week prior.

“Purchase applications had their strongest week in a month, finishing over 4% higher than a year ago, as both conventional and government purchase activity bounced back with solid gains after a sluggish holiday season;” Kan said.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($484,350 or less) decreased 10 basis points to 4.74%. For 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $484,350), the average contract rate decreased 20 basis points to 4.52%.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased 16 basis points to 4.7%. For 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, the average decreased 9 basis points to 4.16%. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs decreased 11 basis points 4.05%.

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