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St. Petersburg Real Estate Market Trends And Forecasts 2020

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Over the last decade owning investment real estate has become much more attractive because it is tangible and you can see it. In this article, our focus will be on the St. Petersburg real estate market and investment opportunities in 2020. St. Petersburg is the smaller, seaside suburb of Tampa, Florida.

Original Photo via Pixabay.com

Both side on the western side and Gulf Coast of Florida, often overshadowed by more famous destinations like Orlando and Miami. Let’s learn more about St. Petersburg before sharing ten reasons to invest in the St. Petersburg real estate in 2020.

St. Petersburg is home to over a quarter million people. That makes it the fifth largest city in Florida on its own. However, it is a suburb of Tampa, Florida. The Tampa metro area is home to almost three million people. St. Petersburg sits on the Pinellas peninsula and can be reached from Tampa via several bridges.

The vibrant economy is attracting many here, but that’s affecting the entire Tampa area. Is St. Petersburg the best market for real estate investment? Let’s take a deep look at the latest St. Petersburg housing market trends to come to a conclusion.

St. Petersburg Real Estate Market Forecast 2020

The real estate data from Zillow shows that the current median home value in Saint Petersburg is $226,800. Currently, the St. Petersburg is a seller’s market. The home prices have risen by 5.5% over the last year. And looking forward into the coming year, the St. Petersburg real estate market forecast is that home prices will continue to rise by 5.1%. 

Here is the St. Petersburg, FL real estate price appreciation graph by Zillow. It shows us the current home price appreciation forecast of 5.1% till Sep 2020.

St. Petersburg Real Estate Market Forecast
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Graph Credits: Zillow.com

The median list price per square foot in St. Petersburg is $213, which is higher than the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro average of $146. The median price of current listings in St. Petersburg is $290,711 and the median price of homes that have been sold is $218,900.

Zillow reports that 23.6% of the listings in St. Petersburg had a price cut in Sep 2019, which is a good thing for buyers. It shows sellers were willing to negotiate on prices as they were finding it more and more difficult to sell homes at asking prices.

The median rent price in St. Petersburg is $1,600, which is higher than the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro median of $1,580.

St. Petersburg Real Estate Market Trends

We shall now discuss some of the most recent housing trends in the Saint Petersburg area. Currently, Trulia has 2,512 resale and new homes for sale in St. Petersburg, FL, including open houses, and homes in the pre-foreclosure, auction, or bank-owned stages of the foreclosure process.

The median price of sold homes in St. Petersburg housing market is $230,000 and homes are selling for about $196/sqft.

St. Petersburg Real Estate Market Trends
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Graph Credits: Trulia.com

Some of the most popular neighborhoods are Downtown, Historic Old Northeast, Isla Del Sol and Shore Acres. Here you’ll find the maximum no. of listings.

Currently, there are 73 active listings in Historic Old Northeast, St. Petersburg, FL and the home prices range from $375K – $2.38M. Additionally, there are 40 rental properties on Trulia within a range of $795 – $4,500. The schools are rated between 2/10 – 6/10.

Similarly, there are 114 active listings in Downtown, St. Petersburg, FL and the home prices range from 70K – $7M. Additionally, there are 42 rental properties within a range of $750 – $5,000. The schools in this neighborhood are rated between 1/10 – 6/10. It is a quiet and walkable neighborhood with a good holiday spirit. St. Petersburg is a minimally walkable city.

In the past month, 593 homes have been sold in Saint Petersburg, Florida as reported by Redfin.comThe median price per square foot in St. Petersburg has increased by 9.4% over the past year. In addition to houses in St. Petersburg, there were also 639 condos, 145 townhouses, and 5 multi-family units for sale in St. Petersburg last month. 

As per their real estate data, the St. Petersburg housing market is very competitive. Homes in St. Petersburg receive 1 offers on average and sell in around 26 days.

The average sale price of a home in St. Petersburg was $227K last month, up 5.6% since last year. The average sale price per square foot in St. Petersburg is $186, up 9.4% since last year.

Homes typically receive 1 offer. Homes for sale in the St. Petersburg housing market sell for about 3% below list price and go pending in around 26 days. A hot listing in St. Petersburg can sell for around list price and go pending in around 6 days.

St. Petersburg Housing Market Trends in Oct 2019: Source Redfin.com

Median List Price$269,000
Avg. Sale / List97.40%
Median List $/Sq Ft$199
Avg. Number of Offers3
Median Sale Price$227,000
Avg. Down Payment20.20%
Median Sale $/Sq Ft$186
Number of Homes Sold593

There are 3,343 homes for sale in St. Petersburg, FL on Realtor.com. The new listings count is 215. The asking price of St. Petersburg single family homes can start from $10,000 and can go up to $6.5M for a luxury 4 bedroom house.

Additionally, there are 799 rental properties for sale, and their rent price starts from $550 per month. The median rent in St. Petersburg is $,500. There are 121 new construction homes for sale within a price range of $179,000 – $6.5M.

According to their statistics, in September 2019, the Saint Petersburg FL housing market was a seller’s market, which means there were roughly more buyers than there were active homes for sale.

Ideally a buyer would prefer a sale to asking price ratio that’s closer to 90%. In Saint Petersburg, the sellers have held good leverage in these negotiations in the past month.

On an average, they could sold homes for 97.14% of the asking price. A seller would always prefer scenarios which can yield a ratio of 100% or higher.

St. Petersburg FL Housing Market Trends
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Graph Credits: Realtor.com

In September 2019, the median price of active listings in Saint Petersburg, FL was $279.8K, trending up 7.5% year-over-year. The median listing price per square foot was $208. The median price of sold home was $245K. On average, homes in Saint Petersburg, FL sell after 66 days on the market.

The trend for median days on market in Saint Petersburg, FL has gone down since last month, and slightly up since last year. For more details, you can visit Realtor.com.

The median list price in St. Petersburg is $290,000 on Movoto.com. The median list price in Saint Petersburg was less than 1% change from October to November. Saint Petersburg’s home resale inventories is 1,487, which increased 2 percent since October 2019.

St Petersburg Home Prices Trends
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Median Price Per Sq Ft | Movoto.com

The median list price per square foot in Saint Petersburg is $205. In October 2019, it was $204. Distressed properties such as foreclosures and short sales remained the same as a percentage of the total market in November.

St. Petersburg, FL Single Family Homes Statistics

Following the real estate market decline in 2007 in the U.S., single family rental homes became favorable options for investors, saving in construction or refurbishment prices. The quick turnaround for an owner to rent out their property means cash flow is almost immediate.

Single family rental properties have grown up to 30% within the last three years. Almost all the housing demand in the US in recent years has been filled by single family rental units.

U.S. single-family rental market has seen steady rent increases between 2010 and 2019. According to CoreLogic’s latest Single-Family Rent Index (SFRI), which analyzes single-family rent price changes nationally and among 20 metropolitan areas, it shows a national rent increase of 3% in April 2019, as compared to 2.8% in April 2018.

The average sales price of new homes sold in the U.S. fell by 1.6% year-over-year in July 2019, to $388,000, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. In fact, the median sales price of new homes sold fell by 4.8% to $312,800 over the same period.

For existing homes, the median price was up by 4.3% to $280,800 in July 2019 from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors. July’s price increase marks the 89th consecutive month of year-over-year gains. Demand remains robust. During the year to July 2019, new and existing home sales increased by 4.3% and 2.5%, respectively.

As per the real estate company called Neigborhoodscout.com, the median house price in St. Petersburg, FL is $230,847, which indicates that home prices in St. Petersburg are above the national average for all cities and towns in the United States.

Single-family detached homes are the single most common housing type in St. Petersburg, accounting for 56.25% of the city’s housing units. One or two bedroom single family detached homes are the most common housing units in St. Petersburg.

Other types of housing that are prevalent in St. Petersburg include large apartment complexes, duplexes, homes converted to apartments and a few row houses. St. Petersburg has a mixture of owner-occupied and renter-occupied housing.

After the great recession of 2008, renting a home has increased exponentially across the nation. There are currently over 136.57 million housing units in the U.S. In 2018, the total number of homeowner households hit an all-time high of 76.2 million. 36.6% of households rent their homes and 64.4% buy their homes (2018 U.S. Census Bureau).

Currently, there are 964 single family homes for sale in St. Petersburg, FL on Zillow. Additionally, there are 217 single family homes for rent in St. Petersburg, FL.

Under potential listings, there are about 55 Foreclosed and 310 Pre-Foreclosure homes. These are the properties that may be coming to the market soon but are not yet found on a multiple listing service (MLS).

St. Petersburg, FL Foreclosures And Bank Owned Homes Statistics

As per the St. Petersburg foreclosure data by Zillow, the percent of delinquent mortgages in Saint Petersburg is 1.3%, which is higher than the national value of 1.1%.

With U.S. home values having fallen by more than 20% nationally from their peak in 2007 until their trough in late 2011, many homeowners are now underwater on their mortgages, meaning they owe more than their home is worth.

The percent of Saint Petersburg homeowners underwater on their mortgage is 4.7%, which is lower than Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater Metro at 5.9%.

Total No. of Foreclosures in St. Petersburg975 (RealtyTrac)
Homes for Sale in St. Petersburg1,689
Recently Sold 6,838
Median List Price $254,000 (0% ⇓ vs Aug 2018)

There are currently 975 properties in Saint Petersburg, FL that are in some stage of foreclosure (default, auction or bank owned) while the number of homes listed for sale on RealtyTrac is 1,689.

In September 2019, the number of properties that received a foreclosure filing in Saint Petersburg, FL was 14% lower than the previous month and 29% lower than the same time last year.

Best Neighborhoods to Invest in St. Petersburg Rental Real Estate

If you are looking to invest in the St. Petersburg real estate, you should know the best places to invest in. The three most important factors when buying a real estate anywhere are location, location, and location. Location creates desirability.

Desirability brings demand. Demand would raise the price of your St. Petersburg rental real estate and you should be able flip it for a lump sum profit. When looking to invest in St. Petersburg real estate, you need to find places where the expected property appreciation forecast is positive.

The running costs for owning and managing an St. Petersburg rental property should be low. The neighborhoods in St. Petersburg must be safe to live in and should have a low crime rate.

The neighborhoods should be close to basic amenities, public services and shopping malls. There should be a natural and upcoming high demand for rental properties and a low supply of income properties.

There are 47 elementary schools, 24 middle schools, 18 high schools and 49 private & charter schools in Saint Petersburg, FL. There are 54 neighborhoods in Saint Petersburg.

Some of the best neighborhoods in Saint Petersburg, Florida are Gulfport, Tierra Verde, South Pasadena, Kenwood, Crescent Heights, Historic Uptown, Downtown St. Petersburg, Isla del Sol, Historic Kenwood, Bahama Shores, Historic Old Northeast, Pass-a-Grille Beach, Coquina Key, Old Northeast, Jungle Terrace, Bayou Club, Bardmoor South, and Greater Woodlawn.

Historic Old Northeast has a median listing price of $749K, making it the most expensive neighborhood. Childs Park is the most affordable neighborhood in St. Petersburg, FL, with a median listing price of $123,000.

Here are the best neighborhoods to invest in St. Petersburg rental real estate because they have the highest appreciation rates (List by Neigborhoodscout.com).

1 SKWY Sunshine Bridge S / SKWY Sunshine Bridge N
2 U of South Florida-St. Petersburg Campus / 4th St S
3 Central Ave / Beach Dr NE
4 28th St N / 22nd Ave N
5 62nd Ave NE / Grant St NE
6 Gandy
7 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St N / Highland St N
8 5th Ave S / 24th St S
9 5th Ave N / 37th St N
10 City Center

How is Real Estate Investing in St. Petersburg, FL?

Now that you know where St. Petersburg is, you probably want to know why we’re recommending it to real estate investors. Investing in real estate is touted as a great way to become wealthy. Should you invest in St. Petersburg rental real estate?

Many real estate investors have asked themselves if buying a rental property in St. Petersburg is good investment? You need to drill deeper into local trends if you want to know what the market holds for the year ahead.

We have already discussed the St. Petersburg housing market 2019 forecast for answers on why to put resources into this market. Although, this article alone is not a comprehensive source to make a final investment decision for St. Petersburg but we have collected ten evidence based positive things for those who are keen to invest in the St. Petersburg rental properties.

Investing in St. Petersburg rental properties will fetch you good returns in the long term as the home prices in St. Petersburg have been trending up year-over-year.

Let’s take a look at the number of positive things going on in the St. Petersburg real estate market which can help investors who are keen to buy an investment property in this city.

We’ll focus on real reasons to invest in the St. Petersburg real estate instead of giving you vague appeals to buy a house or an investment property because of general ambiance and mere promises of future growth.

1. The Affordable Real Estate in St. Petersburg

The average residential property in the St. Petersburg FL housing market costs around 230,000 dollars. This is surprisingly close to the national average.

It is also unusual given the factors that contribute to the rising prices of property in the area. For many, driving across Old Tampa Bay was an inconvenience but necessary due to the higher prices of homes in Tampa.

2. The Impact of Geography

St. Petersburg is famous for its beaches and warm climate. This is mostly due to the warm Gulf Coast waters that surround it. The city is surrounded on three sides by Tampa Bay and the ocean. And to the north, it is hemmed in by cities like Pinellas.

The city is therefore built-out and can’t expand unless you go for expensive tear downs before building high density or just high buildings.

This has helped contribute to the median price per square foot for homes in the St. Petersburg FL housing market costing roughly 200 dollars per square foot, while the Tampa-St. Petersburg average is 150 dollars per square foot. The average home is just cheaper because there are so many condos.

3. The Steady Real Estate Appreciation

The high costs of new construction result in steady appreciation for homes in the St. Petersburg FL housing market. Home prices increased 5 percent in 2019 and are expected to rise another 5 percent in 2020.

4. The Massive Condo Market in St. Petersburg

The St. Petersburg FL housing market is notable for its large number of condos. More importantly, supply isn’t keeping up with demand. The city has several new condo projects coming onto the market, and they are sold out.

Why does St. Petersburg have such high demand for condominiums? For snowbirds, it means they have a place to stay but don’t have to work to maintain the roof or yard.

This means landlords catering to seasonal crowds don’t have to deal with much maintenance of their St. Petersburg real estate investment property, either.

A side benefit of the sheer number of condos in the St. Petersburg area is that it results in them having a higher resale value than areas where condos are considered a step down from houses. Condos are becoming the default option for residents in downtown St. Petersburg.

5. The Favorable Tax Climate

Florida has one of the lowest overall tax burdens in the United States. It ranked 34 out of the 50 states on taxes. It doesn’t have an income tax, and the property taxes are low compared to states like Texas.

More importantly, the local taxes on a St. Petersburg real estate investment property are lower than the state average.

The St. Petersburg FL housing market has the tenth lowest tax burden out of the top 50 metro areas in the state of Florida.

6. The Favorable Legal Climate

Florida doesn’t limit security deposit. You have 15 days to return them unless the person has unpaid rent or property damage. The state’s rental laws are minimal, giving landlords more flexibility. And the state gives you more flexibility than others.

For example, the renter’s deposit can be held in an interest paying account, non-interest paying account or even as a surety bond. You just can’t mix their deposit with your personal funds. The state of Florida doesn’t have rent control, either.

7. The Short-Term Rental Market

Florida has a large percentage of the population that rents, but the warm weather draws many retirees here. The beaches draw many to the St. Petersburg real estate market for a weekend or the winter.

St. Petersburg FL housing market has some strict limits on short term rentals but does allow them. In a residential district, you can only rent it out one calendar month a year but have to have a city business tax receipt.

Short term rentals are permitted in the tourist district year-round, though you have to meet permitting requirements and pay the requisite taxes. If the area allows motels and hotels, then the St. Petersburg real estate investment property can probably be rented out to tourists, too.

8. The Homeowner’s Insurance Rates

Florida homeowner’s insurance rates are highest in the nation. However, insurance premiums vary based on risk. You pay insanely high insurance premiums for properties in Miami and the Keys because they are most likely to suffer hurricane damage.

The Gulf of Mexico side of Florida is less prone hurricanes. And that’s why the St. Petersburg real estate market has insurance rates not that much higher than inland communities.

9. The Impact of Snowbirds in Tampa-St. Petersburg

The St. Petersburg real estate market is a mix of single family homes, apartments and condos. The city’s location on the beach and steady stream of visitors has resulted in it becoming a destination for snowbirds, retirees who visit in the winter.

This also means that you could pick up a condo from non-resident owners who can’t return for health reasons, died, or need the money. On the other hand, snowbirds drive up rental rates and property values.

10. The Opportunity for Bargains

One opportunity in the St. Petersburg real estate market can be found in privately owned condos in “fractured” communities. These are condominiums in buildings that have switched from condos to rented apartments.

Florida passed a law a few years ago allowing condo buildings to be converted to apartments if 80 percent plus agreed to it and less than 10 percent objected. These units quickly lose their value, but the condo owners can only sell to third party investors or the group that bought the building.

A fractured unit in the St. Petersburg real estate investment could then be rented out like an apartment, though you don’t have to buy an apartment building. And you could later sell the St. Petersburg real estate investment property to the building owner.

However, if the unit hits a certain threshold, existing owners may be forced to sell to the main owner. Another opportunity can be found with those delinquent on their mortgage payments.

An average of 1.1 percent of homes nationwide is delinquent on their mortgage. In the St. Petersburg real estate market, it is 1.3 percent. This creates a slightly larger pool of distressed sellers.

Investing in St. Petersburg Real Estate: The Conclusion

Maybe you have done a bit of real estate investing in St. Petersburg, FL but want to take things further and make it into more than a hobby on the side. It’s only wise to think about how you can and should be investing your money. In any property investment, cash flow is gold.

The Tampa area is one of the hottest real estate markets in the United States. The city of St. Petersburg benefits from this while having a few unique benefits of its own. It is a seller’s market market with high rates of return.

A good cash flow means the investment is, needless to say, profitable. A bad cash flow, on the other hand, means you won’t have money on hand to repay your debt.

Therefore, finding a good St. Petersburg real estate investment opportunity would be a key to your success. If you invest wisely in St. Petersburg rental real estate, you could secure your future. If you are a beginner in the business of cash flow real estate investing, it very important to read good books on real estate.

The less expensive the St. Petersburg rental properties are, the lower your ongoing expenses will be. Roughly a $150,000 property is what some experts recommend starting with.

Most investors naturally gravitate to residential property investment. When looking for the best real estate investments in St. Petersburg you should focus on neighborhoods with relatively high population density and employment growth.

Both of them translate into high demand for housing. If housing supply meets housing demand, real estate investors should not miss the opportunity since entry prices of homes remain affordable.

You must also collaborate and learn from savvy real estate investors who have retired early on in their lives by investing in some of the best real estate markets like Saint Petersburg, FL.

Buying or selling real estate, for a majority of investors, is one of the most important decisions they will make. Choosing a real estate professional/counselor continues to be a vital part of this process.

They are well-informed about critical factors that affect your specific market area, such as changes in market conditions, market forecasts, consumer attitudes, best locations, timing and interest rates.

NORADA REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS strives to set the standard for our industry and inspire others by raising the bar on providing exceptional real estate investment opportunities in the U.S. growth markets. We can help you succeed by minimizing risk and maximizing profitability.

The aim of this article was to educate investors who are keen to invest in St. Petersburg real estate in 2019. Purchasing an investment property requires a lot of studies, planning, and budgeting. Not all deals are solid investments. We always recommend to do your own research and take help of a real estate investment counselor.

Other Best Places To Invest in Real Estate in 2020

The other best place to invest in real estate is Missoula, MT. A number of factors combine to make the case for Missoula real estate investment over investing in other parts of the region. It is a stable real estate market with decent rates of return.

Demand for properties in the Missoula real estate market is greater than supply. The area hasn’t seen new construction at the rate necessary to meet demand.

That’s why home prices hit a record price of 300,000 dollars in August, 2018. They’ve remained in that ballpark ever since.

Another fairly good market to choose for real estate investment is Ogden, UT. The Ogden housing market is relatively affordable for investors, but it also offers a favorable legal and regulatory climate.

Rental returns are high, while the area is seeing significant growth. This makes the Ogden housing market perfect for real estate investors. Also, the Ogden housing market is going to see continued growth for years due to a young and growing population.


*Remember, caveat emptor still applies when buying a property anywhere. The information contained in this article was pulled from third party sites mentioned under references. Although the information is believed to be reliable, Norada Real Estate Investments makes no representations, warranties, or guarantees, either express or implied, as to whether the information presented is accurate, reliable, or current. All information presented should be independently verified through the references given below. As a general policy, the Norada Real Estate Investments makes no claims or assertions about the future housing market conditions across the US.

References:

Tax climate                                                                                                            https://taxfoundation.org/state/florida/                                              https://www.kiplinger.com/slideshow/taxes/T055-S001-florida-cities-and-towns-ranked-for-local-taxes/index.html

Favorable legal climate                                                                                  https://www.avail.co/education/laws/florida-landlord-tenant-law/amp

Short term rentals                                                        https://www.tbnweekly.com/clearwater_beacon/article_72c40f88-7ca1-11e9-9bfb-5737e983212e.html https://www.stpete.org/planning_zoning/docs/Short%20Term%20Rentals%20HANDOUT.pdf

Condo market                                                                                                                      https://stpetecatalyst.com/st-petersburg-10-years-after-the-recession-downtown-living/ https://www.tampabay.com/business/two-more-big-tampa-bay-condo-communities-are-becoming-rentals-20190625/

Market Prices, Trends & Forecasts
https://www.zillow.com/st-petersburg-fl/home-values
https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-search/Saint-Petersburg_FL/overview
https://www.movoto.com/saint-petersburg-fl/market-trends/
https://www.realtytrac.com/statsandtrends/fl/pinellas-county/saint-petersburg/

Insurance
https://www.insurance.com/home-and-renters-insurance/coverage/florida-homeowners-insurance
https://www.bizjournals.com/orlando/news/2019/05/15/report-average-florida-homeowner-insurance-rate-is.html

The impact of Snowbirds on the market
http://hughesshelton.com/30-things-probably-didnt-know-snowbirds/
https://www.tampabay.com/business/with-or-without-the-rays-canada-does-significant-business-with-the-tampa-bay-area-20190621/

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